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Transitional Real Estate Markets.  Everything you need to know.

Clients, Neighbours and Friends,
 
Up to this point declining home sales have been mostly about tariff uncertainty but as we move closer to Aprils stats release and the results of our federal election (yet another element causing economic uncertainty) we thought it a good time to look at home sales and pricing at a micro and macro level.
 
According to the BCREA, end of March …

  • The Fraser Valley posted sales in down -25.7 per cent when compared to the same time last year – YIKES!  On the flip side, pricing continued to remain relatively stable, down -2.5 per cent over the same time frame.
  • BC home sales were down -9.6 per cent, home prices down -4.8 per cent.
  • Nationally, the CREA reported down trends across Canada, sales down -20 per cent since November.  The national average home price now sitting at $678,331 down -3.7 per cent.

Although home prices near and far have been on a downward trajectory for months, you can see from the numbers above it’s been a subtle drawback.
 
On the ground this combination of real estate metrics and economic factors indicate markets continue to be in a state of transition.
 
With the April 16 mortgage rate hold (the first rate hold in over a year of rate cuts) buyers are once again shifting back to the sidelines, particularly in BC’s larger markets like the Fraser Valley.  Conversely, sellers are listing their homes which is helping to ease market pressures around supply.  And, based on what we are seeing, the right type of listing, in the right neighbourhood, asking the right price will sell.
 
But as posted in our last blog;  “ … we are still seeing a disconnect as sellers remain hesitant to lower their prices beyond a certain threshold, while buyers … are unable or unwilling to meet it … ”
 
Transitional times are par for the course in interest rate dependant sectors however, to put things in perspective … Canadian home sales in March hit levels not seen since the 2008 financial crisis. 
 
Moving forward the Bank of Canada will be paying close attention to the following:

  • The extent to which higher tariffs reduce demand for Canadian exports
  • How much this impacts the business investment, employment, and household spending
  • How much and how quickly cost increase are passed on to consumer prices
  • How inflation expectations resolve

The BOC’s most recent messaging has been around the unlikelihood it will continue to lower rates in the face of rising inflation however; we have been hearing whispers from those in the mortgage biz that the BOC may in fact lower rates a couple more times to help offset any potential downturn in the economy.
 
If rates were to be lowered again, we expect a rush to market for those who want or need to make a move this year.
 
The next interest rate announcement is scheduled for June 4 so if the above resonates with you, now would be a good time to book a market evaluation with a realtor who understands transitional markets and how to navigate them.
 
We can help. 
 
Jenn & Colin
 
 
 

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Open House, come check it out! Open House on Sunday, April 27, 2025 2:00PM - 4:00PM

We are hosting an open house at  14518 58 Avenue in Surrey . See details here 

Open House on Sunday, April 27, 2025 2:00PM - 4:00PM

Foxridge built home. One of the largest lots and floor plans in Panorama Hills. 4 beds and 4 baths, immaculately kept and cared for by the original owners with a brand new roof! Bright open spaces and vaulted ceilings, flex room up front, large great room and kitchen at back opens onto a south facing yard, fully fenced with 17x25 patio plus cedar hot tub gazebo. Generous size upper level includes primary suite/ensuite bath with his hers sinks and walk in closet plus jack/jill ensuite bath for 2nd and 3rd bedroom. Basement is fully finished with separate entry and a floor plan that can flex for any family. Potential to convert into self-contained 1-2 bed in-law suite. Double garage with deep driveway for multiple cars or rec vehicle plus AC and in-ground sprinkler system.

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Just Listed in Panorama Hills 14518 58th Ave Surrey BC

We have just listed this Foxridge built home in the heart of the Sullivan Panorama neighbourhood of Surrey.

One of the largest lots and floor plans in Panorama Hills. 4 beds and 4 baths, immaculately kept and cared for by the original owners with brand new roof!

Bright open spaces and vaulted ceilings, flex room up front, large great room and kitchen at back opens onto a south facing yard, fully fenced with 17x25 patio plus cedar hot tub gazebo.

Generous size upper level includes primary suite/ensuite bath with his hers sinks and walk in closet plus jack/jill ensuite bath for 2nd and 3rd bedroom.

Basement is fully finished with separate entry and a floor plan that can flex for any family. Potential to convert into self-contained 1-2 bed in-law suite!

Double garage with deep driveway for multiple cars or rec vehicle plus AC and in-ground sprinkler system.

14518 58th Ave is asking $1,749,900 and is open this Sunday from 2-4 pm. come check it out!

View image gallery, cinematic video tour and floor plan here … 

https://storyboard.onikon.com/jennandcolin/14518-58-avenue-surrey

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Tariffs. Economic Uncertainty. Surrey Real Estate in 2025

Clients, Neighbours and Friends,
 
We wanted to share with you the latest stats update from the Fraser Valley Real Estate board as we think it illustrates exactly what our experience has been over the past month working with our buyers and sellers. 

See the update below. We have included benchmark pricing stats closer to home …
 
March home sales in the Fraser Valley remained nearly 50 per cent below the 10-year average — making for the slowest start to the spring market in more than 15 years. The Fraser Valley Real Estate Board recorded 1,036 sales in March, up 13 per cent from February, but still 26 per cent below sales recorded this time last year.
 
Following a decline on the Board’s Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) in February, new listings increased 22 per cent in March to 3,800. Overall inventory is at a decade-high level, with 9,219 active listings, 49 per cent above March 2024 and 59 per cent above the 10-year seasonal average.
 
“If not for the economic uncertainty driven largely by U.S. tariffs, we’d likely be seeing a typical strong spring market in the Fraser Valley,” said Tore Jacobsen, Chair of the Fraser Valley Real Estate Board. 

Instead, we’re seeing a disconnect as sellers remain hesitant to lower their prices beyond a certain threshold, while buyers, facing tighter financing conditions, are either unable or unwilling to meet it. The resulting inertia is keeping sales low.”
 
The overall sales-to-active listings ratio continues to signal a buyer’s market in the Fraser Valley, with a ratio of 11 per cent. (The market is considered to be balanced when the ratio is between 12 per cent and 20 per cent.)
 
“Currently, uncertainty is impacting all corners of the real estate and development sector,” said Baldev Gill, CEO of the Fraser Valley Real Estate Board, “  and as a result, we are seeing markedly lower seasonal activity. 
 
Pricing stats for March ...
 
Benchmark pricing in South Surrey White Rock locked in at $1.904 for detached homes, townhomes $946k and apartments $626k.
 
Benchmark pricing in Sullivan/Panorama/Cloverdale sat closer to $1,525 for detached homes, $842k for townhomes and $592k for apartments.
 
As we have mentioned before, transitional markets are highly nuanced
 
For sellers, pricing your home can be stressful and highly dynamic.  For buyers, understanding how to submit offers that will get thoughtfully considered often involves trial and error.
 
If you have been thinking of making a move this year and any of the above resonates with you, give us a call. 604-583-2000
 
We can offer valuable insight into current conditions, future trends and important considerations for timing your sale or purchase.   
 
Jenn & Colin
 

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Register Now 2025 Sullivan Panorama Community Garage Sale!

Saturday May 10, 2025 (rain or shine)
9:00 am – 1:00 pm.

This years sale is the 15th time Colin and I have hosted this community event!

Typically we have have 30-60 families in the community participate by registering their sale. If you live in Surreys Sullivan Panorama area between 64th Ave / 56th Ave and 156th St / 144th St your home qualifies to register.

All promotions, posts and advertising will be managed by us leading up to the sale.  In addition, hundreds of directional arrows and signs leading buyers to your sale will be installed by us early in the morning the day of the event. 

All that is required from you is to have your sale ready to go before 9:00am on Saturday May 10th!

Please visit our garage sale page for all you need to know to shop the sales or to register your home … 

GARAGE SALE PAGE 

Please note, REGISTRATION CLOSES SUNDAY MAY 4th and you must fill in the registration form to have your home included on our maps and in our promotions.

See you out there Sullivan!

COMMUNITY, it’s what we do.


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